Thursday, September 13, 2007

Market dilemma

"There are two kinds of people who lose money: those who know nothing and those who know everything."

Well, why would the first one lose is anybody's guess; however our second breed loses cause of its overconfidence and over-interpretation of every market impacting development.

Market is funny. You bet! It falls down every time you invest? What bad did you do to the Laxmi? Why is that every t-d-h you know claims that he made fortunes on the D-street! Didn't you read that the person who has held Infosys shares since IPO is a crorepati. Well well well.. Welcome to the great Indian casino named Sensex.

I've been in the market since not so long time of about 4 years. As always, i made, i lost, i made, i lost and i made and I’m making... u know what. I started when i knew nothing. I burnt my fingers and then i learnt. I'm learning now as well. All that has changed is the no. of elements in my set named {Mistakes you can make in stock market investments}. I'll summaries some of my learning’s here which are obviously not writings on the stone wall:

Indian markets are highly manipulated by traders and insiders. ( So are other markets at different levels)
Q You as retail investors should never trade in derivatives market.
Q Never buy a stock on the tip of your dhoodhwala.
Q If you don’t understand it, stay out.

Well then what should you do? Sit on the fence and watch that dhoodhwala suddenly delivering on a bike from a cycle! No.. And a strong NO.

India is just beginning. We are blessed to live and grow in this phase of India. If you miss it now, you will never probably catch it in 5 years hence. Invest, Invest and Invest but beware. "Greed is good" claimed Al pacino in Wallstreet. We are in a phase when we are observing people prospering. Crowd has money and a strange feeling that they'll have it till eternity. What best describes an EMI of 30K on a salary of 50K! Well, their feeling is not too wrongly placed. We are feeling uncomformatable because this phase of growing India is a new phase. We have lived in the society that was evidently under served, had fewer ambitions and bought a bike in the entire earning life. But, lets realise that India has grown above that. Even India can prosper. Why do you doubt that everyone is doing well these days and standard of life is increasing? These things are norm of the day in developed nations! We are moving towards that. However still long way to go... but we are on the road. And only this time we have a marathon and not a 100mts 10 runner’s race. So join-in.

Coming back to what one should do for investing now. I'm assuming that reader is not a geek with stocks or a day trader. As a normal investor here are the top 3 golden rules:

- Don't try to time the market. You can not on a medium term.
- Don't come close to the markets if you don't want to stay invested and have patience.
- Invest through reputed mutual funds and in a fund running for atleast last 3-4 years. Dont pay heed to rosy NFOs unless they are significantly different from the existing funds.

I again urge that lets participate and make the whole system more strong with our conviction.

2 comments:

R. Anand said...

dude... that is one useful advice for beginners... but can we dig a little deeper into specifics...

becos most "money" give the same advice... dont time the market, invest regularly etc...

but where do we start... u know it is always the starting trouble... and how do we learn from wotever we do - everything seems so very random...

btw, it was michael douglas and not al pacino in wall street - but as an investor you are not expected to remember such details... u r forgiven :)

Kumar said...

wokay.. i was willing to write Gordan Gekko...

Hope you are not still waiting for a start... If so, i'm a call away